Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Arizona › Arizona House of Representatives · State legislature · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Arizona Legislative District 5

D vs D2 seats

Same-party general election. Two Democrats advanced to November: the seat stays Democratic.

Sarah Liguori has no major-party opponent.

Sarah Liguori has no major-party opponent.

2 seats in this district

2.0 D · 0.0 R expected of 2 seats

2.0 D · 0.0 R expected of 2 seats

How this race is decided

Two representatives per district

Each legislative district elects one senator and two House members. Voters may pick up to two House candidates and the top two finishers win, so a district can split between the parties.

The candidates

The district

Lean D+38: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.

Presidential vote

← RepublicanDemocratic →2016 presidentD+35.8D+33.5 vs. nation2020 presidentD+40.2D+35.6 vs. nation2024 presidentD+36.9D+38.4 vs. nation

Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.

Who lives here

Population
249,219
People per km²
2,111
Adults with a B.A.+
43%
White, no degree
24%of adults
  • White 48%
  • Hispanic 35%
  • Black 7%
  • Asian 3%
  • Other / multiracial 8%

American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.

Past results

Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.

2024

153,619 votes · D+32.4
✓ Sarah Liguori (D)40.3%
✓ Aaron Marquez (D)38.5%
Reina "reina" Patocs (R)20.6%

2024 President Vote in this district

102,825 two-party votes · D+36.9 · D+38.4 vs. the nation
✓ Kamala Harris (D)68.5%
Donald Trump (R)31.5%

2022

121,997 votes · D+33.8
✓ Amish Shah (D)40.2%
✓ Jennifer Longdon (D)39.7%
Jennifer Treadwell (R)19.9%

2020 Earlier district lines

132,154 votes · Uncontested by the other party
✓ Regina Cobb (R)53.9%
✓ Leo Biasiucci (R)46.1%

2020 President Vote in this district

108,553 two-party votes · D+40.2 · D+35.6 vs. the nation
✓ Joe Biden (D)70.1%
Donald Trump (R)29.9%

2016 President Vote in this district

78,215 two-party votes · D+35.8 · D+33.5 vs. the nation
✓ Hillary Clinton (D)67.9%
Donald Trump (R)32.1%