Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Arizona · Arizona Legislative District 5 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Aaron Márquez

DemocraticIncumbentD vs D2 seats

Electoral history

Earlier races in Arizona, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    House of Representatives · LD-5 Nov 5, 2024

    D · 38.6% · 59,087 votes

    Won
  2. 2014

    State Senate · LD-27 primary · Aug 26, 2014

    D · 45.5% · 4,733 votes

    Lost

Opponents in 2026