Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Nevada › Nevada State Assembly · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Nevada Assembly District 15

D vs D

Same-party general election. Two Democrats advanced to November: the seat stays Democratic.

Howard Watts has no major-party opponent.

Howard Watts has no major-party opponent.

The candidates

DemocraticCandidate

Miguel Davila

The district

Lean D+21: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.

Presidential vote

← RepublicanDemocratic →2016 presidentD+35.9D+33.6 vs. nation2020 presidentD+25.7D+21.2 vs. nation2024 presidentD+19.2D+20.7 vs. nation

Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.

Who lives here

Population
66,157
People per km²
1,982
Adults with a B.A.+
21%
White, no degree
21%of adults
  • White 26%
  • Hispanic 40%
  • Black 16%
  • Asian 10%
  • Other / multiracial 8%

American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.

Past results

Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.

2024

18,743 votes · D+20.4
✓ Howard Watts (D)58.3%
Melissa Lynn Spence (R)38.5%
Jordy Prado (—)3.1%

2024 President Vote in this district

19,783 two-party votes · D+19.2 · D+20.7 vs. the nation
✓ Kamala Harris (D)59.6%
Donald Trump (R)40.4%

2022

12,151 votes · D+25.1
✓ Howard Watts (D)62.5%
Steven D Bang (R)37.5%

2020 Earlier district lines

20,444 votes · D+29.5
✓ Howard Watts (D)64.7%
Stan Vaughan (R)35.3%

2020 President Vote in this district

22,121 two-party votes · D+25.7 · D+21.2 vs. the nation
✓ Joe Biden (D)62.9%
Donald Trump (R)37.1%

2016 President Vote in this district

15,852 two-party votes · D+35.9 · D+33.6 vs. the nation
✓ Hillary Clinton (D)67.9%
Donald Trump (R)32.1%