Democratic
Illinois › Illinois House of Representatives · State legislature · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
Illinois Representative District 69
Sosnowski is clearly favored to win: Sosnowski wins in 6 of every 7 simulations.
Janko (D)
14%
chance of winning
Sosnowski (R)
86%
- Average margin
- R+7.9
- 80% of outcomes
- R+18 to D+2
- Partisan lean
- R+12
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Sosnowski is favored to win: Sosnowski wins in 3 of every 4 simulations.
Janko (D)
24%
chance of winning
Sosnowski (R)
76%
- Average margin
- R+6.6
- 80% of outcomes
- R+19 to D+6
- Partisan lean
- R+12
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Range of outcomes
Final margin across our simulations; the white dashes mark the middle 80%.
The candidates
RepublicanIncumbent
Joe C. Sosnowski
What goes into the forecast
Every ingredient's estimate of the final margin.
- National environment
- D+9.5Election Day forecast
- Illinois state offices
- +0.6Polls for governor, statewide and legislative races · details
- Environment here
- D+10.1Used by the fundamentals
- Swing reaching this office
- 58%Of a shift in the environment, from past legislative races since 2016
- Midwest adjustment
- +0.3How legislative races in the region have run against lean and environment lately
Each estimate is a margin before national and statewide uncertainty is simulated. Horizon blends polls, fundamentals and a little of the similar-places estimate, weighting each by how precise it is; Pulse uses polls and similar places only.
Fundamentals inputs
| Incumbency (+1 D, −1 R) | -1 |
| Fundraising edge (log ratio of individual money) | -1.06 |
| Elected-experience edge | -0.67 |
| First-term incumbent | 0 |
| Seat's last result vs. expectation | -7.85 |
| Incumbent's last result vs. expectation | -7.85 |
Polls
No public polls of this race. The forecast relies on fundamentals and on polling of similar places in the state.
The district
Lean R+12: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.
Presidential vote
Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.
Who lives here
- Population
- 92,763
- People per km²
- 68
- Adults with a B.A.+
- 33%
- White, no degree
- 52%of adults
- White 73%
- Hispanic 19%
- Black 2%
- Asian 3%
- Other / multiracial 3%
American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.
Past results
Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.
2024
54,790 votes · R+22.9✓ Joe Sosnowski (R)61.4%
Peter Janko (D)38.6%
2024 President Vote in this district
55,571 two-party votes · R+13.2 · R+11.7 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)56.6%
Kamala Harris (D)43.4%
2022
40,164 votes · R+22.8✓ Joe C Sosnowski (R)61.4%
Peter Janko (D)38.6%
2020 Earlier district lines
45,218 votes · Uncontested by the other party✓ Joe Sosnowski (R)100.0%
2020 President Vote in this district
56,639 two-party votes · R+10.3 · R+14.8 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)55.2%
Joe Biden (D)44.8%
2016 President Vote in this district
44,767 two-party votes · R+15.4 · R+17.6 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)57.7%
Hillary Clinton (D)42.3%
Also on the ballot in Illinois
Neighboring districts
RD-63—Steven Reick>99%Rep.>99%Rep. RD-64AJ JohnsonTom Weber91%Rep.77%Rep. RD-66Suzanne NessLaurie Parman99%Dem.93%Dem. RD-68Dave VellaKathy Easton>99%Dem.96%Dem. RD-70Veronica Garcia-MartinezJeff KeicherFlip risk63%Rep.51%Dem. RD-89—Tony M. McCombie>99%Rep.>99%Rep. RD-90—John M. Cabello>99%Rep.>99%Rep.