Two senators per district
Each of the 17 Senate districts has two senators serving staggered four-year terms, so one seat per district is on the ballot each election.
West Virginia › West Virginia State Senate · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
West Virginia State Senate District 6
Maynard is very likely to win: Maynard wins in more than 99 of every 100 simulations.
Lilly (D)
<1%
chance of winning
Maynard (R)
>99%
- Average margin
- R+45.9
- 80% of outcomes
- R+56 to R+37
- Partisan lean
- R+63
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Maynard is very likely to win: Maynard wins in more than 99 of every 100 simulations.
Lilly (D)
<1%
chance of winning
Maynard (R)
>99%
- Average margin
- R+56.8
- 80% of outcomes
- R+70 to R+44
- Partisan lean
- R+63
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
How this race is decided
Simple-majority veto override
A majority of the members elected to each chamber can override most vetoes; budget and spending bills need two-thirds.
Range of outcomes
Final margin across our simulations; the white dashes mark the middle 80%.
The candidates
Democratic
Wyatt Lilly
RepublicanIncumbent
Mark R. Maynard
- Experience
- State legislature
What goes into the forecast
Every ingredient's estimate of the final margin.
- National environment
- D+9.5Election Day forecast
- West Virginia state offices
- +0.6Polls for governor, statewide and legislative races · details
- Environment here
- D+10.1Used by the fundamentals
- Swing reaching this office
- 58%Of a shift in the environment, from past legislative races since 2016
- Upper South adjustment
- +5.2How legislative races in the region have run against lean and environment lately
Each estimate is a margin before national and statewide uncertainty is simulated. Horizon blends polls, fundamentals and a little of the similar-places estimate, weighting each by how precise it is; Pulse uses polls and similar places only.
Fundamentals inputs
| Incumbency (+1 D, −1 R) | -1 |
| Fundraising edge (log ratio of individual money) | -1.3 |
| Elected-experience edge | -0.67 |
| First-term incumbent | 0 |
| Seat's last result vs. expectation | 30 |
| Incumbent's last result vs. expectation | 0 |
Polls
No public polls of this race. The forecast relies on fundamentals and on polling of similar places in the state.
The district
Lean R+63: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.
Presidential vote
Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.
Who lives here
- Population
- 104,854
- People per km²
- 26
- Adults with a B.A.+
- 16%
- White, no degree
- 77%of adults
- White 90%
- Hispanic 2%
- Black 4%
- Other / multiracial 4%
American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.
Past results
Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.
2024
37,703 votes · R+28.1✓ Craig A Hart (R)61.0%
Jeff Disibbio (D)34.3%
Dave Sartin (—)4.7%
2024 President Vote in this district
39,781 two-party votes · R+63.2 · R+61.7 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)81.6%
Kamala Harris (D)18.4%
2022
23,471 votes · R+46.8✓ Mark R Maynard (R)73.4%
Tiffany Clemins (D)26.6%
2020 Earlier district lines
33,682 votes · Uncontested by the other party✓ Chandler Swope (R)100.0%
2020 President Vote in this district
44,753 two-party votes · R+60.8 · R+65.3 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)80.4%
Joe Biden (D)19.6%
2016 President Vote in this district
41,809 two-party votes · R+60.4 · R+62.6 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)80.2%
Hillary Clinton (D)19.8%