Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Arkansas › Arkansas House of Representatives · State legislature · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Arkansas House District 46

Tonya Fletcher has no major-party opponent.

Tonya Fletcher has no major-party opponent.

How this race is decided

Simple-majority veto override

A majority of the members of each chamber can override the governor's veto.

The candidates

The district

Lean R+63: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.

Presidential vote

← RepublicanDemocratic →2016 presidentR+55.4R+57.6 vs. nation2020 presidentR+62.3R+66.8 vs. nation2024 presidentR+63.4R+61.9 vs. nation

Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.

Who lives here

Population
28,054
People per km²
11
Adults with a B.A.+
16%
White, no degree
74%of adults
  • White 87%
  • Hispanic 3%
  • Black 1%
  • Asian 1%
  • Other / multiracial 7%

American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.

Past results

Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.

2024

10,807 votes · Uncontested by the other party
✓ Jon S Eubanks (R)100.0%

2024 President Vote in this district

11,897 two-party votes · R+63.4 · R+61.9 vs. the nation
✓ Donald Trump (R)81.7%
Kamala Harris (D)18.3%

2022

8,083 votes · Uncontested by the other party
✓ Jon S Eubanks (R)100.0%

2020 President Vote in this district

11,845 two-party votes · R+62.3 · R+66.8 vs. the nation
✓ Donald Trump (R)81.1%
Joe Biden (D)18.9%

2018 Earlier district lines

8,551 votes · Uncontested by the other party
✓ Les Eaves (R)81.8%
Drew Tanner (L)18.2%

2016 President Vote in this district

10,773 two-party votes · R+55.4 · R+57.6 vs. the nation
✓ Donald Trump (R)77.7%
Hillary Clinton (D)22.3%