Simple-majority veto override
A majority of the members of each chamber can override the governor's veto.
Arkansas › Arkansas House of Representatives · State legislature · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
Arkansas House District 67
Projected flip: Republican-held seat, Democrats favored (85%).
Eberly is clearly favored to win: Eberly wins in 6 of every 7 simulations.
Eberly (D)
85%
chance of winning
Brown (R)
15%
- Average margin
- D+8.0
- 80% of outcomes
- R+2 to D+18
- Partisan lean
- R+1
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Projected flip: Republican-held seat, Democrats favored (73%).
Eberly is favored to win: Eberly wins in about 3 of every 4 simulations.
Eberly (D)
73%
chance of winning
Brown (R)
27%
- Average margin
- D+5.7
- 80% of outcomes
- R+7 to D+19
- Partisan lean
- R+1
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
How this race is decided
Range of outcomes
Final margin across our simulations; the white dashes mark the middle 80%.
The candidates
Democratic
Andrew Cade Eberly
RepublicanIncumbent
Karilyn Brown
- Experience
- State legislature
What goes into the forecast
Every ingredient's estimate of the final margin.
- National environment
- D+9.5Election Day forecast
- Arkansas state offices
- +0.4Polls for governor, statewide and legislative races · details
- Environment here
- D+9.9Used by the fundamentals
- Swing reaching this office
- 58%Of a shift in the environment, from past legislative races since 2016
- Upper South adjustment
- +5.2How legislative races in the region have run against lean and environment lately
Each estimate is a margin before national and statewide uncertainty is simulated. Horizon blends polls, fundamentals and a little of the similar-places estimate, weighting each by how precise it is; Pulse uses polls and similar places only.
Fundamentals inputs
| Incumbency (+1 D, −1 R) | -1 |
| Fundraising edge (log ratio of individual money) | -0.22 |
| Elected-experience edge | -0.67 |
| First-term incumbent | 0 |
| Seat's last result vs. expectation | -1.25 |
| Incumbent's last result vs. expectation | -1.25 |
Polls
No public polls of this race. The forecast relies on fundamentals and on polling of similar places in the state.
The district
Lean R+1: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.
Presidential vote
Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.
Who lives here
- Population
- 30,112
- People per km²
- 610
- Adults with a B.A.+
- 33%
- White, no degree
- 39%of adults
- White 50%
- Hispanic 4%
- Black 41%
- Asian 2%
- Other / multiracial 4%
American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.
Past results
Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.
2024
12,541 votes · R+4.5✓ Karilyn Brown (R)52.2%
Andrew Cade Eberly (D)47.8%
2024 President Vote in this district
12,736 two-party votes · D+0.1 · D+1.6 vs. the nation✓ Kamala Harris (D)50.0%
Donald Trump (R)50.0%
2022
9,860 votes · R+5.2✓ Karilyn Brown (R)52.6%
Jannie M Cotton (D)47.4%
2020 Earlier district lines
15,809 votes · R+50.7✓ Stephen Meeks (R)75.4%
Steve Wilson (D)24.6%
2020 President Vote in this district
13,968 two-party votes · R+2.7 · R+7.3 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)51.4%
Joe Biden (D)48.6%
2016 President Vote in this district
12,716 two-party votes · R+11.3 · R+13.5 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)55.6%
Hillary Clinton (D)44.4%