DemocraticIncumbent
Regina English
- Experience
- State legislature
Colorado › Colorado House of Representatives · State legislature · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
Colorado House District 17
English is very likely to win: English wins in more than 99 of every 100 simulations.
English (D)
>99%
chance of winning
Martin (R)
<1%
- Average margin
- D+23.1
- 80% of outcomes
- D+14 to D+33
- Partisan lean
- D+13
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
English is very likely to win: English wins in 19 of every 20 simulations.
English (D)
96%
chance of winning
Martin (R)
4%
- Average margin
- D+18.3
- 80% of outcomes
- D+6 to D+31
- Partisan lean
- D+13
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Range of outcomes
Final margin across our simulations; the white dashes mark the middle 80%.
The candidates
What goes into the forecast
Every ingredient's estimate of the final margin.
- National environment
- D+9.5Election Day forecast
- Colorado state offices
- +0.0Polls for governor, statewide and legislative races · details
- Environment here
- D+9.5Used by the fundamentals
- Swing reaching this office
- 58%Of a shift in the environment, from past legislative races since 2016
- Mountain West adjustment
- +1.2How legislative races in the region have run against lean and environment lately
Each estimate is a margin before national and statewide uncertainty is simulated. Horizon blends polls, fundamentals and a little of the similar-places estimate, weighting each by how precise it is; Pulse uses polls and similar places only.
Fundamentals inputs
| Incumbency (+1 D, −1 R) | 1 |
| Fundraising edge (log ratio of individual money) | 0.89 |
| Elected-experience edge | 0.67 |
| First-term incumbent | 0 |
| Seat's last result vs. expectation | 1.57 |
| Incumbent's last result vs. expectation | 1.57 |
Polls
No public polls of this race. The forecast relies on fundamentals and on polling of similar places in the state.
The district
Lean D+13: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.
Presidential vote
Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.
Who lives here
- Population
- 91,114
- People per km²
- 1,009
- Adults with a B.A.+
- 23%
- White, no degree
- 34%of adults
- White 43%
- Hispanic 35%
- Black 11%
- Asian 2%
- Other / multiracial 8%
American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.
Past results
Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.
2024
25,884 votes · D+11.7✓ Regina English (D)55.9%
Elizabeth Riggs (R)44.1%
2024 President Vote in this district
27,260 two-party votes · D+11.4 · D+12.9 vs. the nation✓ Kamala Harris (D)55.7%
Donald Trump (R)44.3%
2022
18,006 votes · D+14.6✓ Regina English (D)57.3%
Rachel Inez Stovall (R)42.7%
2020 Earlier district lines
27,799 votes · D+20.6✓ Thomas Exum Sr (D)56.8%
Rob Blancken (R)37.4%
Susan Quilleash (—)5.8%
2020 President Vote in this district
28,753 two-party votes · D+16.9 · D+12.3 vs. the nation✓ Joe Biden (D)58.4%
Donald Trump (R)41.6%
2016 President Vote in this district
23,081 two-party votes · D+3.9 · D+1.7 vs. the nation✓ Hillary Clinton (D)51.9%
Donald Trump (R)48.1%