Staggered Senate
Senators serve four-year terms; about half the seats are on the ballot each election.
Tennessee › Tennessee State Senate · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
Tennessee State Senate District 7
Briggs is clearly favored to win: Briggs wins in 5 of every 6 simulations.
Langan (D)
18%
chance of winning
Briggs (R)
82%
- Average margin
- R+6.9
- 80% of outcomes
- R+17 to D+3
- Partisan lean
- R+18
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Briggs is clearly favored to win: Briggs wins in 7 of every 8 simulations.
Langan (D)
12%
chance of winning
Briggs (R)
88%
- Average margin
- R+11.5
- 80% of outcomes
- R+24 to D+1
- Partisan lean
- R+18
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
How this race is decided
Simple-majority veto override
A majority of the members elected to each chamber can override the governor's veto.
Range of outcomes
Final margin across our simulations; the white dashes mark the middle 80%.
The candidates
Democratic
Bryan Langan
RepublicanIncumbent
Richard Briggs
- Experience
- State legislature
What goes into the forecast
Every ingredient's estimate of the final margin.
- National environment
- D+9.5Election Day forecast
- Tennessee state offices
- −0.7Polls for governor, statewide and legislative races · details
- Environment here
- D+8.8Used by the fundamentals
- Swing reaching this office
- 58%Of a shift in the environment, from past legislative races since 2016
- Upper South adjustment
- +5.2How legislative races in the region have run against lean and environment lately
Each estimate is a margin before national and statewide uncertainty is simulated. Horizon blends polls, fundamentals and a little of the similar-places estimate, weighting each by how precise it is; Pulse uses polls and similar places only.
Fundamentals inputs
| Incumbency (+1 D, −1 R) | -1 |
| Fundraising edge (log ratio of individual money) | -0.67 |
| Elected-experience edge | -0.67 |
| First-term incumbent | 0 |
| Seat's last result vs. expectation | -4.23 |
| Incumbent's last result vs. expectation | -4.23 |
Polls
No public polls of this race. The forecast relies on fundamentals and on polling of similar places in the state.
The district
Lean R+18: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.
Presidential vote
Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.
Who lives here
- Population
- 212,981
- People per km²
- 604
- Adults with a B.A.+
- 44%
- White, no degree
- 45%of adults
- White 80%
- Hispanic 7%
- Black 6%
- Asian 3%
- Other / multiracial 5%
American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.
Past results
Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.
2024 President Vote in this district
89,010 two-party votes · R+19.0 · R+17.5 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)59.5%
Kamala Harris (D)40.5%
2022
52,819 votes · R+24.7✓ Richard M Briggs (R)62.3%
Bryan Langan (D)37.7%
2020 President Vote in this district
90,899 two-party votes · R+13.8 · R+18.3 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)56.9%
Joe Biden (D)43.1%
2018 Earlier district lines
69,384 votes · R+11.1✓ Richard Briggs (R)55.6%
Jamie Ballinger (D)44.4%
2016 President Vote in this district
71,491 two-party votes · R+25.3 · R+27.5 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)62.6%
Hillary Clinton (D)37.4%
2014 Earlier district lines
42,822 votes · R+30.5✓ Richard Briggs (R)65.3%
Cheri K Siler (D)34.7%