Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Tennessee › Tennessee House of Representatives · State legislature · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Tennessee House District 95

Kevin Vaughan has no major-party opponent.

Kevin Vaughan has no major-party opponent.

How this race is decided

Simple-majority veto override

A majority of the members elected to each chamber can override the governor's veto.

The candidates

The district

Lean R+32: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.

Presidential vote

← RepublicanDemocratic →2016 presidentR+39.4R+41.6 vs. nation2020 presidentR+28.0R+32.5 vs. nation2024 presidentR+32.8R+31.3 vs. nation

Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.

Who lives here

Population
70,813
People per km²
331
Adults with a B.A.+
60%
White, no degree
26%of adults
  • White 66%
  • Hispanic 5%
  • Black 15%
  • Asian 9%
  • Other / multiracial 4%

American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.

Past results

Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.

2024

27,790 votes · Uncontested by the other party
✓ Kevin Vaughan (R)100.0%

2024 President Vote in this district

37,218 two-party votes · R+32.8 · R+31.3 vs. the nation
✓ Donald Trump (R)66.4%
Kamala Harris (D)33.6%

2022

24,032 votes · R+49.3
✓ Kevin Vaughan (R)74.6%
Patricia Causey (D)25.4%

2020 Earlier district lines

39,833 votes · R+39.3
✓ William Kevin Vaughan (R)69.7%
Lynnette P Williams (D)30.3%

2020 President Vote in this district

40,954 two-party votes · R+28.0 · R+32.5 vs. the nation
✓ Donald Trump (R)64.0%
Joe Biden (D)36.0%

2016 President Vote in this district

33,577 two-party votes · R+39.4 · R+41.6 vs. the nation
✓ Donald Trump (R)69.7%
Hillary Clinton (D)30.3%