Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Kentucky › Kentucky House of Representatives · State legislature · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Kentucky House District 18

Samara Heavrin has no major-party opponent.

Samara Heavrin has no major-party opponent.

How this race is decided

Simple-majority veto override

A majority of the members elected to each chamber can override the governor's veto.

The candidates

The district

Lean R+53: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.

Presidential vote

← RepublicanDemocratic →2016 presidentR+58.4R+60.6 vs. nation2020 presidentR+37.9R+42.4 vs. nation2024 presidentR+58.2R+56.7 vs. nation

Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.

Who lives here

Population
43,570
People per km²
22
Adults with a B.A.+
18%
White, no degree
78%of adults
  • White 94%
  • Hispanic 2%
  • Black 1%
  • Other / multiracial 3%

American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.

Past results

Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.

2024

17,483 votes · Uncontested by the other party
✓ Samara Heavrin (R)100.0%

2024 President Vote in this district

20,733 two-party votes · R+58.2 · R+56.7 vs. the nation
✓ Donald Trump (R)79.1%
Kamala Harris (D)20.9%

2022

11,423 votes · Uncontested by the other party
✓ Samara Heavrin (R)100.0%

2020 Earlier district lines

19,763 votes · Uncontested by the other party
✓ Samara Heavrin (R)83.0%
Jacob Clark (—)17.0%

2020 President Vote in this district

32,166 two-party votes · R+37.9 · R+42.4 vs. the nation
✓ Donald Trump (R)68.9%
Joe Biden (D)31.1%

2016 President Vote in this district

17,562 two-party votes · R+58.4 · R+60.6 vs. the nation
✓ Donald Trump (R)79.2%
Hillary Clinton (D)20.8%