DemocraticIncumbent
Terri Sewell
Incumbent U.S. representative
- Experience
- Statewide office or Congress
- Raised
- $2.2M
- From individuals
- $409.3K
- Spent
- $2.2M
- Cash on hand
- $3.5M
Money: FEC, through Sep 30, 2026.
Alabama › U.S. House of Representatives · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
Alabama's 7th District
Sewell is very likely to win: Sewell wins in more than 99 of every 100 simulations.
Sewell (D)
>99%
chance of winning
Akin (R)
<1%
- Average margin
- D+27.1
- 80% of outcomes
- D+18 to D+37
- Partisan lean
- D+19
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Sewell is very likely to win: Sewell wins in more than 99 of every 100 simulations.
Sewell (D)
99%
chance of winning
Akin (R)
1%
- Average margin
- D+26.3
- 80% of outcomes
- D+14 to D+39
- Partisan lean
- D+19
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Range of outcomes
Final margin across our simulations; the white dashes mark the middle 80%.
The candidates
Republican
Ammie Akin
Educator
- Experience
- No elected office
- Raised
- $262.9K
- From individuals
- $157.9K
- Spent
- $210.8K
- Cash on hand
- $52.1K
Money: FEC, through Sep 30, 2026.
What goes into the forecast
Every ingredient's estimate of the final margin.
- National environment
- D+9.5Election Day forecast; federal races run in it
- Swing reaching this office
- 78%Of a shift in the environment, from past House races since 2016
- Southeast adjustment
- −1.9How House races in the region have run against lean and environment lately
Each estimate is a margin before national and statewide uncertainty is simulated. Horizon blends polls, fundamentals and a little of the similar-places estimate, weighting each by how precise it is; Pulse uses polls and similar places only.
Fundamentals inputs
| Incumbency (+1 D, −1 R) | 1 |
| Fundraising edge (log ratio of individual money) | 1.63 |
| Elected-experience edge | 1 |
| First-term incumbent | 0 |
| Seat's last result vs. expectation | 0 |
| Incumbent's last result vs. expectation | 0 |
Polls
No public polls of this race. The forecast relies on fundamentals and on polling of similar places.
The district
Lean D+19: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.
Presidential vote
Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.
Who lives here
- Population
- 714,287
- People per km²
- 21
- Adults with a B.A.+
- 26%
- White, no degree
- 28%of adults
- White 40%
- Hispanic 4%
- Black 51%
- Asian 1%
- Other / multiracial 3%
American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.
Past results
Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.
2024 Earlier district lines
293,220 votes · D+27.4✓ Terri A. Sewell (D)63.7%
Robin Litaker (R)36.3%
2024 President Vote in this district
293,669 two-party votes · D+18.1 · D+19.6 vs. the nation✓ Kamala Harris (D)59.0%
Donald Trump (R)41.0%
2022 Earlier district lines
193,940 votes · D+29.3✓ Terri A Sewell (D)63.5%
Beatrice Nichols (R)34.8%
Gavin Goodman (L)1.7%
2020 Earlier district lines
232,331 votes · Uncontested by the other party✓ Terri A Sewell (D)97.2%
Writein (—)2.8%
2020 President Vote in this district
353,265 two-party votes · D+20.8 · D+16.3 vs. the nation✓ Joe Biden (D)60.4%
Donald Trump (R)39.6%
2018 Earlier district lines
188,458 votes · Uncontested by the other party✓ Terri Sewell (D)98.0%
Writein (—)2.0%
2016 Earlier district lines
232,758 votes · Uncontested by the other party✓ Terri A Sewell (D)98.4%
[Write-in] (—)1.6%
2016 President Vote in this district
314,293 two-party votes · D+21.3 · D+19.1 vs. the nation✓ Hillary Clinton (D)60.7%
Donald Trump (R)39.3%