Top-two primary
All candidates run in one primary regardless of party and the two with the most votes advance, so two candidates of the same party can meet in November. The forecast then marks the seat as safe for that party.
California › California State Assembly · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
California Assembly District 15
Top twoAnamarie Avila Farias has no major-party opponent.
Anamarie Avila Farias has no major-party opponent.
How this race is decided
The candidates
DemocraticIncumbent
Anamarie Avila Farias
- Experience
- State legislature
Independent
Arthur Webb
The district
Lean D+35: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.
Presidential vote
Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.
Who lives here
- Population
- 507,176
- People per km²
- 565
- Adults with a B.A.+
- 34%
- White, no degree
- 24%of adults
- White 36%
- Hispanic 32%
- Black 9%
- Asian 15%
- Other / multiracial 8%
American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.
Past results
Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.
2024
205,220 votes · D+28.3✓ Anamarie Avila Farias (D)64.1%
Sonia Ledo (R)35.9%
2024 President Vote in this district
212,330 two-party votes · D+32.8 · D+34.3 vs. the nation✓ Kamala Harris (D)66.4%
Donald Trump (R)33.6%
2022
149,623 votes · D+34.6✓ Tim Grayson (D)67.3%
Janell Elizabeth Proctor (R)32.7%
2020 Earlier district lines
240,840 votes · Uncontested by the other party✓ Buffy Wicks (D)84.7%
Sara Brink (—)15.3%
2020 President Vote in this district
235,519 two-party votes · D+41.3 · D+36.8 vs. the nation✓ Joe Biden (D)70.7%
Donald Trump (R)29.3%
2016 President Vote in this district
176,683 two-party votes · D+41.3 · D+39.1 vs. the nation✓ Hillary Clinton (D)70.7%
Donald Trump (R)29.3%