Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Arkansas › Arkansas House of Representatives · State legislature · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Arkansas House District 33

Jon Milligan has no major-party opponent.

Jon Milligan has no major-party opponent.

How this race is decided

Simple-majority veto override

A majority of the members of each chamber can override the governor's veto.

The candidates

The district

Lean R+58: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.

Presidential vote

← RepublicanDemocratic →2016 presidentR+53.5R+55.8 vs. nation2020 presidentR+57.6R+62.1 vs. nation2024 presidentR+58.1R+56.6 vs. nation

Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.

Who lives here

Population
33,232
People per km²
16
Adults with a B.A.+
27%
White, no degree
59%of adults
  • White 81%
  • Hispanic 6%
  • Black 7%
  • Asian 1%
  • Other / multiracial 5%

American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.

Past results

Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.

2024

9,814 votes · Uncontested by the other party
✓ Jon Milligan (R)100.0%

2024 President Vote in this district

11,998 two-party votes · R+58.1 · R+56.6 vs. the nation
✓ Donald Trump (R)79.0%
Kamala Harris (D)21.0%

2022

7,011 votes · Uncontested by the other party
✓ Jon Milligan (R)100.0%

2020 Earlier district lines

11,734 votes · Uncontested by the other party
✓ Tippi McCullough (D)100.0%

2020 President Vote in this district

11,456 two-party votes · R+57.6 · R+62.1 vs. the nation
✓ Donald Trump (R)78.8%
Joe Biden (D)21.2%

2016 President Vote in this district

10,052 two-party votes · R+53.5 · R+55.8 vs. the nation
✓ Donald Trump (R)76.8%
Hillary Clinton (D)23.2%