Simple-majority veto override
A majority of the members elected to each chamber can override the governor's veto, so the majority party does not need a supermajority to pass bills over a veto.
Alabama › Alabama House of Representatives · State legislature · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
Alabama House District 8
Johnson is very likely to win: Johnson wins in more than 99 of every 100 simulations.
Sparkman (D)
<1%
chance of winning
Johnson (R)
>99%
- Average margin
- R+24.0
- 80% of outcomes
- R+34 to R+14
- Partisan lean
- R+27
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Johnson is very likely to win: Johnson wins in 49 of every 50 simulations.
Sparkman (D)
2%
chance of winning
Johnson (R)
98%
- Average margin
- R+21.8
- 80% of outcomes
- R+35 to R+9
- Partisan lean
- R+27
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
How this race is decided
Range of outcomes
Final margin across our simulations; the white dashes mark the middle 80%.
The candidates
Democratic
Bruce Sparkman
Republican
Patrick Johnson
What goes into the forecast
Every ingredient's estimate of the final margin.
- National environment
- D+9.5Election Day forecast
- Alabama state offices
- −0.1Polls for governor, statewide and legislative races · details
- Environment here
- D+9.4Used by the fundamentals
- Swing reaching this office
- 58%Of a shift in the environment, from past legislative races since 2016
- Southeast adjustment
- −1.8How legislative races in the region have run against lean and environment lately
Each estimate is a margin before national and statewide uncertainty is simulated. Horizon blends polls, fundamentals and a little of the similar-places estimate, weighting each by how precise it is; Pulse uses polls and similar places only.
Fundamentals inputs
| Incumbency (+1 D, −1 R) | 0 |
| Fundraising edge (log ratio of individual money) | -1.37 |
| Elected-experience edge | 0 |
| First-term incumbent | 0 |
| Seat's last result vs. expectation | -30 |
| Incumbent's last result vs. expectation | 0 |
Polls
No public polls of this race. The forecast relies on fundamentals and on polling of similar places in the state.
The district
Lean R+27: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.
Presidential vote
Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.
Who lives here
- Population
- 42,327
- People per km²
- 171
- Adults with a B.A.+
- 17%
- White, no degree
- 51%of adults
- White 57%
- Hispanic 17%
- Black 21%
- Asian 1%
- Other / multiracial 4%
American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.
Past results
Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.
2024 President Vote in this district
17,095 two-party votes · R+28.7 · R+27.2 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)64.3%
Kamala Harris (D)35.7%
2022
8,535 votes · Uncontested by the other party✓ Terri Collins (R)84.8%
Angela Walser (L)14.7%
Write-In (—)0.5%
2020 President Vote in this district
18,257 two-party votes · R+23.0 · R+27.5 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)61.5%
Joe Biden (D)38.5%
2018 Earlier district lines
14,279 votes · R+23.4✓ Terri Collins (R)61.6%
Billy Jackson (D)38.3%
2016 President Vote in this district
16,739 two-party votes · R+31.8 · R+34.0 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)65.9%
Hillary Clinton (D)34.1%
2014 Earlier district lines
10,465 votes · R+19.8✓ Collins (R)59.9%
Cheatham (D)40.1%