Simple-majority veto override
A majority of the members elected to each chamber can override the governor's veto.
Tennessee › Tennessee House of Representatives · State legislature · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
Tennessee House District 6
Hicks is very likely to win: Hicks wins in more than 99 of every 100 simulations.
Batt (D)
<1%
chance of winning
Hicks (R)
>99%
- Average margin
- R+27.8
- 80% of outcomes
- R+37 to R+19
- Partisan lean
- R+42
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Hicks is very likely to win: Hicks wins in more than 99 of every 100 simulations.
Batt (D)
<1%
chance of winning
Hicks (R)
>99%
- Average margin
- R+36.6
- 80% of outcomes
- R+49 to R+24
- Partisan lean
- R+42
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
How this race is decided
Range of outcomes
Final margin across our simulations; the white dashes mark the middle 80%.
The candidates
What goes into the forecast
Every ingredient's estimate of the final margin.
- National environment
- D+9.5Election Day forecast
- Tennessee state offices
- −0.7Polls for governor, statewide and legislative races · details
- Environment here
- D+8.8Used by the fundamentals
- Swing reaching this office
- 58%Of a shift in the environment, from past legislative races since 2016
- Upper South adjustment
- +5.2How legislative races in the region have run against lean and environment lately
Each estimate is a margin before national and statewide uncertainty is simulated. Horizon blends polls, fundamentals and a little of the similar-places estimate, weighting each by how precise it is; Pulse uses polls and similar places only.
Fundamentals inputs
| Incumbency (+1 D, −1 R) | -1 |
| Fundraising edge (log ratio of individual money) | -1.22 |
| Elected-experience edge | -0.67 |
| First-term incumbent | 0 |
| Seat's last result vs. expectation | -1.66 |
| Incumbent's last result vs. expectation | -1.66 |
Polls
No public polls of this race. The forecast relies on fundamentals and on polling of similar places in the state.
The district
Lean R+42: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.
Presidential vote
Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.
Who lives here
- Population
- 69,562
- People per km²
- 167
- Adults with a B.A.+
- 38%
- White, no degree
- 55%of adults
- White 87%
- Hispanic 4%
- Black 3%
- Asian 2%
- Other / multiracial 4%
American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.
Past results
Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.
2024
30,887 votes · R+45.9✓ Tim Hicks (R)72.9%
Brad Batt (D)27.1%
2024 President Vote in this district
32,867 two-party votes · R+42.4 · R+40.9 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)71.2%
Kamala Harris (D)28.8%
2022
18,263 votes · Uncontested by the other party✓ Tim Hicks (R)76.5%
Joel Goodman (I)23.5%
2020 Earlier district lines
29,664 votes · R+45.3✓ Tim Hicks (R)72.7%
Brad Batt (D)27.3%
2020 President Vote in this district
32,782 two-party votes · R+39.5 · R+44.1 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)69.8%
Joe Biden (D)30.2%
2016 President Vote in this district
25,372 two-party votes · R+48.3 · R+50.5 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)74.2%
Hillary Clinton (D)25.8%