Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Massachusetts › Massachusetts House of Representatives · State legislature · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Massachusetts House of Representatives: 4th Norfolk District

James M. Murphy has no major-party opponent.

James M. Murphy has no major-party opponent.

The candidates

The district

Lean D+16: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.

Presidential vote

← RepublicanDemocratic →2016 presidentD+13.0D+10.8 vs. nation2020 presidentD+23.0D+18.5 vs. nation2024 presidentD+13.0D+14.5 vs. nation

Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.

Who lives here

Population
45,367
People per km²
1,141
Adults with a B.A.+
41%
White, no degree
47%of adults
  • White 76%
  • Hispanic 5%
  • Black 5%
  • Asian 9%
  • Other / multiracial 5%

American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.

Past results

Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.

2024

17,165 votes · Uncontested by the other party
✓ James Michael Murphy (D)100.0%

2024 President Vote in this district

21,748 two-party votes · D+13.0 · D+14.5 vs. the nation
✓ Kamala Harris (D)56.5%
Donald Trump (R)43.5%

2022

16,033 votes · D+27.9
✓ James Michael Murphy (D)64.0%
Paul J Rotondo (R)36.0%

2020 Earlier district lines

25,126 votes · D+36.2
✓ James Michael Murphy (D)64.7%
Paul J Rotondo (R)30.3%
Dominic S Giannone III (—)5.0%

2020 President Vote in this district

24,600 two-party votes · D+23.0 · D+18.5 vs. the nation
✓ Joe Biden (D)61.5%
Donald Trump (R)38.5%

2016 President Vote in this district

20,586 two-party votes · D+13.0 · D+10.8 vs. the nation
✓ Hillary Clinton (D)56.5%
Donald Trump (R)43.5%