Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Connecticut › Connecticut State Senate · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Connecticut State Senate District 27

Fusion

Patricia Billie Miller has no major-party opponent.

Patricia Billie Miller has no major-party opponent.

How this race is decided

Fusion voting

Candidates can run on several party lines, such as Working Families or Independent, and their votes on every line are added together. The forecast counts all of a candidate's lines.

The candidates

The district

Lean D+29: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.

Presidential vote

← RepublicanDemocratic →2016 presidentD+39.5D+37.3 vs. nation2020 presidentD+40.9D+36.4 vs. nation2024 presidentD+25.6D+27.1 vs. nation

Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.

Who lives here

Population
104,511
People per km²
972
Adults with a B.A.+
52%
White, no degree
12%of adults
  • White 40%
  • Hispanic 30%
  • Black 19%
  • Asian 8%
  • Other / multiracial 4%

American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.

Past results

Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.

2024

38,486 votes · D+24.6
✓ Pat Billie Miller (D)62.3%
Nicola Tarzia (R)37.7%

2024 President Vote in this district

36,165 two-party votes · D+25.6 · D+27.1 vs. the nation
✓ Kamala Harris (D)62.8%
Donald Trump (R)37.2%

2022

25,362 votes · D+23.2
✓ Pat Billie Miller (D)61.6%
Michael Battinelli (R)38.4%

2020 Earlier district lines

45,873 votes · D+27.7
✓ Carlo Leone (D)63.8%
Eva A Maldonado (R)36.2%

2020 President Vote in this district

41,765 two-party votes · D+40.9 · D+36.4 vs. the nation
✓ Joe Biden (D)70.4%
Donald Trump (R)29.6%

2016 President Vote in this district

35,664 two-party votes · D+39.5 · D+37.3 vs. the nation
✓ Hillary Clinton (D)69.7%
Donald Trump (R)30.3%