Simple-majority veto override
A majority of the members elected to each chamber can override the governor's veto, so the majority party does not need a supermajority to pass bills over a veto.
Alabama › Alabama State Senate · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
Alabama State Senate District 7
Givhan is clearly favored to win: Givhan wins in 6 of every 7 simulations.
Sluss (D)
14%
chance of winning
Givhan (R)
86%
- Average margin
- R+8.0
- 80% of outcomes
- R+18 to D+2
- Partisan lean
- R+12
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Givhan is favored to win: Givhan wins in about 3 of every 4 simulations.
Sluss (D)
29%
chance of winning
Givhan (R)
71%
- Average margin
- R+5.2
- 80% of outcomes
- R+18 to D+8
- Partisan lean
- R+12
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
How this race is decided
Range of outcomes
Final margin across our simulations; the white dashes mark the middle 80%.
The candidates
Democratic
Jared Sluss
RepublicanIncumbent
Sam Givhan
- Experience
- State legislature
What goes into the forecast
Every ingredient's estimate of the final margin.
- National environment
- D+9.5Election Day forecast
- Alabama state offices
- −0.1Polls for governor, statewide and legislative races · details
- Environment here
- D+9.4Used by the fundamentals
- Swing reaching this office
- 58%Of a shift in the environment, from past legislative races since 2016
- Southeast adjustment
- −1.8How legislative races in the region have run against lean and environment lately
Each estimate is a margin before national and statewide uncertainty is simulated. Horizon blends polls, fundamentals and a little of the similar-places estimate, weighting each by how precise it is; Pulse uses polls and similar places only.
Fundamentals inputs
| Incumbency (+1 D, −1 R) | -1 |
| Fundraising edge (log ratio of individual money) | -1.18 |
| Elected-experience edge | -0.67 |
| First-term incumbent | 0 |
| Seat's last result vs. expectation | -11.15 |
| Incumbent's last result vs. expectation | -11.15 |
Polls
No public polls of this race. The forecast relies on fundamentals and on polling of similar places in the state.
The district
Lean R+12: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.
Presidential vote
Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.
Who lives here
- Population
- 150,804
- People per km²
- 224
- Adults with a B.A.+
- 43%
- White, no degree
- 34%of adults
- White 63%
- Hispanic 7%
- Black 23%
- Asian 1%
- Other / multiracial 5%
American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.
Past results
Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.
2024 President Vote in this district
74,581 two-party votes · R+12.3 · R+10.8 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)56.2%
Kamala Harris (D)43.8%
2022
46,442 votes · R+25.4✓ Sam Givhan (R)62.6%
Korey Wilson (D)37.2%
2020 President Vote in this district
106,439 two-party votes · R+9.2 · R+13.7 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)54.6%
Joe Biden (D)45.4%
2018 Earlier district lines
54,476 votes · R+10.5✓ Sam Givhan (R)55.2%
Deborah Barros (D)44.7%
2016 President Vote in this district
61,533 two-party votes · R+18.6 · R+20.8 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)59.3%
Hillary Clinton (D)40.7%
2014 Earlier district lines
35,277 votes · R+29.7✓ Sanford (R)64.8%
Bennett (D)35.2%