Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Vermont › Vermont House of Representatives · State legislature · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Vermont House of Representatives: Washington-5 State House District

Fusion

Ela Chapin has no major-party opponent.

Ela Chapin has no major-party opponent.

How this race is decided

Named multi-member districts

Districts are named after counties and towns ('Chittenden-Central'). Senate districts elect one to three senators and House districts one or two members; voters pick as many as there are seats.

Progressive Party

Vermont's Progressive Party holds legislative seats and caucuses with the Democrats, so its candidates are forecast on the Democratic side and its seats count toward that majority.

Fusion voting

Candidates can run with several party nominations, often Democratic and Progressive (listed as 'Democratic/Progressive'), and their votes count together. The forecast uses the first-listed party.

The candidates

The district

Lean D+55: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.

Presidential vote

← RepublicanDemocratic →2016 presidentD+50.0D+47.8 vs. nation2020 presidentD+57.3D+52.8 vs. nation2024 presidentD+54.0D+55.5 vs. nation

Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.

Who lives here

Population
5,386
People per km²
29
Adults with a B.A.+
57%
White, no degree
41%of adults
  • White 94%
  • Hispanic 2%
  • Black 1%
  • Other / multiracial 3%

American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.

Past results

Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.

2024

2,347 votes · Uncontested by the other party
✓ Elanor "Ela" Chapin (D)96.6%
Write-Ins (—)3.4%

2024 President Vote in this district

2,870 two-party votes · D+54.0 · D+55.5 vs. the nation
✓ Kamala Harris (D)77.0%
Donald Trump (R)23.0%

2022

2,012 votes · Uncontested by the other party
✓ Ela Chapin (D)100.0%

2020 Earlier district lines

2,760 votes · Uncontested by the other party
✓ Kimberly Jessup (D)72.1%
Matthew S Sellers (—)27.9%

2020 President Vote in this district

2,907 two-party votes · D+57.3 · D+52.8 vs. the nation
✓ Joe Biden (D)78.7%
Donald Trump (R)21.3%

2016 President Vote in this district

2,330 two-party votes · D+50.0 · D+47.8 vs. the nation
✓ Hillary Clinton (D)75.0%
Donald Trump (R)25.0%