Pollsters · Updated Oct 17, 2026
Texas A&M University/ReconMR/Siena University
5 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 4 races. Latest: Jul 30, 2026.
- Polls
- 55 in 4 races
- 538 rating
- —Not rated by 538
- House effect
- D+1.3Against other polls, in today's forecast
Its polls run 1.3 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Senate in Texas | Jul 27–Jul 30 | 619 LV | Talarico 47 · Paxton 43 | D+4 | reconmr.com ↗ |
| Texas Governor | Jul 27–Jul 30 | 619 LV | Hinojosa 45 · Abbott 46 | R+1 | reconmr.com ↗ |
| Texas Lieutenant Governor | Jul 27–Jul 30 | 619 LV | Goodwin 48 · Patrick 46 | D+2 | static.politico.com ↗ |
| Texas Attorney General | Jul 27–Jul 30 | 619 LV | Johnson 44 · Middleton 46 | R+2 | static.politico.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Texas | Jun 1–Jun 4 | 807 LV | Talarico 46 · Paxton 46 | Even | reconmr.com ↗ |