Pollsters · Updated Oct 17, 2026
ReconMR/Siena University
6 public polls in the 2026 cycle, across 4 races. Latest: Oct 8, 2026.
- Polls
- 66 in 4 races
- 538 rating
- —Not rated by 538
- House effect
- D+2.7Against other polls, in today's forecast
Its polls run 2.7 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
Race polls
Newest first. Source links go to the poll's own release.
| Race | Dates | Sample | Result | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Senate in Texas | Oct 5–Oct 8 | 617 LV | Talarico 48 · Paxton 44 | D+4 | reconmr.com ↗ |
| Texas Governor | Oct 5–Oct 8 | 617 LV | Hinojosa 47 · Abbott 48 | R+1 | reconmr.com ↗ |
| U.S. Senate in Texas | Sep 8–Sep 11 | 614 LV | Talarico 49 · Paxton 43 | D+6 | reconmr.com ↗ |
| Texas Governor | Sep 8–Sep 11 | 614 LV | Hinojosa 49 · Abbott 45 | D+4 | reconmr.com ↗ |
| Texas Lieutenant Governor | Sep 8–Sep 11 | 614 LV | Goodwin 47 · Patrick 46 | D+1 | reconmr.com ↗ |
| Texas Attorney General | Sep 8–Sep 11 | 614 LV | Johnson 44 · Middleton 45 | R+1 | reconmr.com ↗ |