Multi-member delegate districts
Each of the 47 legislative districts elects one senator and three delegates. Some districts elect all three together, where voters pick up to three; others are split into one- or two-member subdistricts.
Maryland › Maryland House of Delegates · State legislature · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
Maryland Delegate District 16
3 seatsKorman is very likely to win: Korman wins in more than 99 of every 100 simulations.
Korman (D)
>99%
chance of winning
Hingston (R)
<1%
- Average margin
- D+64.6
- 80% of outcomes
- D+55 to D+75
- Partisan lean
- D+64
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Korman is very likely to win: Korman wins in more than 99 of every 100 simulations.
Korman (D)
>99%
chance of winning
Hingston (R)
<1%
- Average margin
- D+69.1
- 80% of outcomes
- D+56 to D+83
- Partisan lean
- D+64
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
3 seats in this district
3.0 D · 0.0 R expected of 3 seats
3.0 D · 0.0 R expected of 3 seats
How this race is decided
Range of outcomes
Final margin across our simulations; the white dashes mark the middle 80%.
The candidates
DemocraticIncumbent
Marc Korman
- Experience
- State legislature
DemocraticIncumbent
Sarah Wolek
- Experience
- State legislature
DemocraticIncumbent
Teresa Saavedra Woorman
- Experience
- State legislature
Republican
Ann Hingston
Working Class
Bob White
What goes into the forecast
Every ingredient's estimate of the final margin.
- National environment
- D+9.5Election Day forecast
- Maryland state offices
- +1.1Polls for governor, statewide and legislative races · details
- Environment here
- D+10.7Used by the fundamentals
- Swing reaching this office
- 58%Of a shift in the environment, from past legislative races since 2016
- Mid-Atlantic adjustment
- −0.8How legislative races in the region have run against lean and environment lately
Each estimate is a margin before national and statewide uncertainty is simulated. Horizon blends polls, fundamentals and a little of the similar-places estimate, weighting each by how precise it is; Pulse uses polls and similar places only.
Fundamentals inputs
| Incumbency (+1 D, −1 R) | 1 |
| Fundraising edge (log ratio of individual money) | 2.12 |
| Elected-experience edge | 0.67 |
| First-term incumbent | 0 |
| Seat's last result vs. expectation | -0.73 |
| Incumbent's last result vs. expectation | 0 |
Polls
No public polls of this race. The forecast relies on fundamentals and on polling of similar places in the state.
The district
Lean D+64: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.
Presidential vote
Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.
Who lives here
- Population
- 131,141
- People per km²
- 1,221
- Adults with a B.A.+
- 86%
- White, no degree
- 8%of adults
- White 64%
- Hispanic 10%
- Black 6%
- Asian 14%
- Other / multiracial 6%
American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.
Past results
Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.
2024 President Vote in this district
72,615 two-party votes · D+65.2 · D+66.7 vs. the nation✓ Kamala Harris (D)82.6%
Donald Trump (R)17.4%
2022
125,831 votes · Uncontested by the other party✓ Ariana Kelly (D)33.1%
Marc Korman (D)33.0%
Sara N Love (D)32.7%
Other Write-Ins (—)1.2%
2020 President Vote in this district
118,401 two-party votes · D+66.9 · D+62.3 vs. the nation✓ Joe Biden (D)83.4%
Donald Trump (R)16.6%
2018 Earlier district lines
149,079 votes · D+49.7✓ Ariana Kelly (D)30.6%
Marc Korman (D)29.4%
Sara Love (D)29.4%
Bill Day (R)10.3%
2016 President Vote in this district
123,452 two-party votes · D+64.1 · D+61.9 vs. the nation✓ Hillary Clinton (D)82.1%
Donald Trump (R)17.9%
2014 Earlier district lines
116,346 votes · D+26.8✓ Bill Frick (D)23.0%
Marc Korman (D)22.1%
Ariana Kelly (D)21.6%
Rose Maria Li (R)13.3%
John Andrews (R)10.2%