Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Kentucky › Kentucky State Senate · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Kentucky State Senate District 30

Brandon D. Smith has no major-party opponent.

Brandon D. Smith has no major-party opponent.

How this race is decided

Staggered Senate

Senators serve four-year terms; half the seats are on the ballot each election.

Simple-majority veto override

A majority of the members elected to each chamber can override the governor's veto.

The candidates

The district

Lean R+62: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.

Presidential vote

← RepublicanDemocratic →2016 presidentR+56.5R+58.7 vs. nation2020 presidentR+57.2R+61.7 vs. nation2024 presidentR+63.2R+61.7 vs. nation

Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.

Who lives here

Population
117,110
People per km²
16
Adults with a B.A.+
14%
White, no degree
82%of adults
  • White 94%
  • Hispanic 1%
  • Black 2%
  • Other / multiracial 3%

American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.

Past results

Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.

2024 President Vote in this district

46,652 two-party votes · R+63.2 · R+61.7 vs. the nation
✓ Donald Trump (R)81.6%
Kamala Harris (D)18.4%

2022

34,697 votes · R+47.5
✓ Brandon D Smith (R)73.7%
Sid Allen (D)26.3%

2020 President Vote in this district

49,235 two-party votes · R+57.2 · R+61.7 vs. the nation
✓ Donald Trump (R)78.6%
Joe Biden (D)21.4%

2018 Earlier district lines

37,834 votes · R+46.4
✓ Brandon Smith (R)73.2%
Paula Clemons-Combs (D)26.8%

2016 President Vote in this district

45,148 two-party votes · R+56.5 · R+58.7 vs. the nation
✓ Donald Trump (R)78.2%
Hillary Clinton (D)21.8%

2014 Earlier district lines

37,180 votes · R+47.6
✓ Brandon D Smith (R)73.8%
Jordan Bowling Palmer (D)26.2%