Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Kentucky › Kentucky State Senate · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Kentucky State Senate District 2

Danny Carroll has no major-party opponent.

Danny Carroll has no major-party opponent.

How this race is decided

Staggered Senate

Senators serve four-year terms; half the seats are on the ballot each election.

Simple-majority veto override

A majority of the members elected to each chamber can override the governor's veto.

The candidates

The district

Lean R+47: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.

Presidential vote

← RepublicanDemocratic →2016 presidentR+47.0R+49.2 vs. nation2020 presidentR+44.7R+49.3 vs. nation2024 presidentR+47.4R+45.9 vs. nation

Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.

Who lives here

Population
120,626
People per km²
33
Adults with a B.A.+
25%
White, no degree
67%of adults
  • White 87%
  • Hispanic 3%
  • Black 6%
  • Asian 1%
  • Other / multiracial 4%

American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.

Past results

Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.

2024 President Vote in this district

60,442 two-party votes · R+47.4 · R+45.9 vs. the nation
✓ Donald Trump (R)73.7%
Kamala Harris (D)26.3%

2022

34,951 votes · Uncontested by the other party
✓ Danny Carroll (R)100.0%

2020 President Vote in this district

67,317 two-party votes · R+44.7 · R+49.3 vs. the nation
✓ Donald Trump (R)72.4%
Joe Biden (D)27.6%

2018 Earlier district lines

44,679 votes · R+26.5
✓ Danny Carroll (R)63.2%
Julie Tennyson (D)36.8%

2016 President Vote in this district

57,269 two-party votes · R+47.0 · R+49.2 vs. the nation
✓ Donald Trump (R)73.5%
Hillary Clinton (D)26.5%

2014 Earlier district lines

42,337 votes · R+16.9
✓ Danny Carroll (R)58.5%
Jeff G Parker (D)41.5%