Simple-majority veto override
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Indiana › Indiana House of Representatives · State legislature · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
Indiana House District 88
Jeter is favored to win: Jeter wins in 3 of every 4 simulations.
Yocum (D)
25%
chance of winning
Jeter (R)
75%
- Average margin
- R+5.0
- 80% of outcomes
- R+15 to D+5
- Partisan lean
- R+11
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Jeter is favored to win: Jeter wins in about 2 of every 3 simulations.
Yocum (D)
30%
chance of winning
Jeter (R)
70%
- Average margin
- R+4.8
- 80% of outcomes
- R+17 to D+8
- Partisan lean
- R+11
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
How this race is decided
Range of outcomes
Final margin across our simulations; the white dashes mark the middle 80%.
The candidates
Democratic
Stephanie Jo Yocum
Nominee for this district in 2024
- Experience
- No elected office
RepublicanIncumbent
Chris Jeter
Incumbent state representative
- Experience
- State legislature
What goes into the forecast
Every ingredient's estimate of the final margin.
- National environment
- D+9.5Election Day forecast
- Indiana state offices
- +1.3Polls for governor, statewide and legislative races · details
- Environment here
- D+10.8Used by the fundamentals
- Swing reaching this office
- 58%Of a shift in the environment, from past legislative races since 2016
- Midwest adjustment
- +0.3How legislative races in the region have run against lean and environment lately
Each estimate is a margin before national and statewide uncertainty is simulated. Horizon blends polls, fundamentals and a little of the similar-places estimate, weighting each by how precise it is; Pulse uses polls and similar places only.
Fundamentals inputs
| Incumbency (+1 D, −1 R) | -1 |
| Fundraising edge (log ratio of individual money) | -0.48 |
| Elected-experience edge | -0.67 |
| First-term incumbent | 0 |
| Seat's last result vs. expectation | -2.09 |
| Incumbent's last result vs. expectation | -2.09 |
Polls
No public polls of this race. The forecast relies on fundamentals and on polling of similar places in the state.
The district
Lean R+11: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.
Presidential vote
Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.
Who lives here
- Population
- 70,164
- People per km²
- 235
- Adults with a B.A.+
- 52%
- White, no degree
- 40%of adults
- White 82%
- Hispanic 5%
- Black 6%
- Asian 3%
- Other / multiracial 5%
American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.
Past results
Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.
2024
39,913 votes · R+15.6✓ Chris Jeter (R)57.8%
Stephanie Jo Yocum (D)42.2%
2024 President Vote in this district
39,936 two-party votes · R+10.2 · R+8.7 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)55.1%
Kamala Harris (D)44.9%
2022
24,573 votes · R+19.7✓ Chris Jeter (R)59.9%
Donna L Griffin (D)40.1%
2020 Earlier district lines
44,944 votes · R+18.6✓ Chris Jeter (R)59.3%
Pam Dechert (D)40.7%
2020 President Vote in this district
39,786 two-party votes · R+13.4 · R+17.9 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)56.7%
Joe Biden (D)43.3%
2016 President Vote in this district
30,965 two-party votes · R+25.5 · R+27.7 vs. the nation✓ Donald Trump (R)62.8%
Hillary Clinton (D)37.2%
Neighboring districts
HD-32Victoria Wilburn—>99%Dem.>99%Dem. HD-35Phil GiftElizabeth Rowray>99%Rep.>99%Rep. HD-37Lauren ColeTodd Huston90%Rep.72%Rep. HD-53Reece Axel-AdamsEthan Lawson>99%Rep.>99%Rep. HD-87Carey Hamilton—>99%Dem.>99%Dem. HD-89Mitch Gore—>99%Dem.>99%Dem. HD-95John Bartlett—>99%Dem.>99%Dem. HD-98Robin Shackleford—>99%Dem.>99%Dem.