Democratic
Delaware › Delaware House of Representatives · State legislature · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
Delaware House District 16
Salaam is very likely to win: Salaam wins in more than 99 of every 100 simulations.
Salaam (D)
>99%
chance of winning
Mwashitete (R)
<1%
- Average margin
- D+58.4
- 80% of outcomes
- D+49 to D+68
- Partisan lean
- D+57
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Salaam is very likely to win: Salaam wins in more than 99 of every 100 simulations.
Salaam (D)
>99%
chance of winning
Mwashitete (R)
<1%
- Average margin
- D+62.1
- 80% of outcomes
- D+49 to D+75
- Partisan lean
- D+57
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Range of outcomes
Final margin across our simulations; the white dashes mark the middle 80%.
The candidates
Republican
Enala A. Mwashitete
What goes into the forecast
Every ingredient's estimate of the final margin.
- National environment
- D+9.5Election Day forecast
- Delaware state offices
- +0.0Polls for governor, statewide and legislative races · details
- Environment here
- D+9.5Used by the fundamentals
- Swing reaching this office
- 58%Of a shift in the environment, from past legislative races since 2016
- Mid-Atlantic adjustment
- −0.8How legislative races in the region have run against lean and environment lately
Each estimate is a margin before national and statewide uncertainty is simulated. Horizon blends polls, fundamentals and a little of the similar-places estimate, weighting each by how precise it is; Pulse uses polls and similar places only.
Fundamentals inputs
| Incumbency (+1 D, −1 R) | 0 |
| Fundraising edge (log ratio of individual money) | 1.36 |
| Elected-experience edge | 0 |
| First-term incumbent | 0 |
| Seat's last result vs. expectation | 5.82 |
| Incumbent's last result vs. expectation | 0 |
Polls
No public polls of this race. The forecast relies on fundamentals and on polling of similar places in the state.
The district
Lean D+57: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.
Presidential vote
Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.
Who lives here
- Population
- 26,595
- People per km²
- 507
- Adults with a B.A.+
- 19%
- White, no degree
- 28%of adults
- White 31%
- Hispanic 24%
- Black 37%
- Asian 3%
- Other / multiracial 6%
American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.
Past results
Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.
2024
8,092 votes · Uncontested by the other party✓ Franklin D. Cooke Jr. (D)100.0%
2024 President Vote in this district
9,976 two-party votes · D+55.2 · D+56.7 vs. the nation✓ Kamala Harris (D)77.6%
Donald Trump (R)22.4%
2022
4,344 votes · Uncontested by the other party✓ Franklin D Cooke Jr (D)100.0%
2020 Earlier district lines
7,679 votes · Uncontested by the other party✓ Franklin D Cooke Jr (D)100.0%
2020 President Vote in this district
10,539 two-party votes · D+61.5 · D+57.0 vs. the nation✓ Joe Biden (D)80.8%
Donald Trump (R)19.2%
2016 President Vote in this district
9,680 two-party votes · D+61.8 · D+59.5 vs. the nation✓ Hillary Clinton (D)80.9%
Donald Trump (R)19.1%