Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

California › California State Assembly · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

California Assembly District 69

D vs DTop two

Same-party general election. Two Democrats advanced to November: the seat stays Democratic.

Josh Lowenthal has no major-party opponent.

Josh Lowenthal has no major-party opponent.

How this race is decided

Top-two primary

All candidates run in one primary regardless of party and the two with the most votes advance, so two candidates of the same party can meet in November. The forecast then marks the seat as safe for that party.

The candidates

The district

Lean D+41: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.

Presidential vote

← RepublicanDemocratic →2016 presidentD+49.3D+47.1 vs. nation2020 presidentD+46.3D+41.8 vs. nation2024 presidentD+39.5D+41.0 vs. nation

Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.

Who lives here

Population
463,622
People per km²
278
Adults with a B.A.+
37%
White, no degree
14%of adults
  • White 27%
  • Hispanic 42%
  • Black 10%
  • Asian 16%
  • Other / multiracial 6%

American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.

Past results

Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.

2024

175,907 votes · D+36.8
✓ Josh Lowenthal (D)68.4%
Joshua Rodriguez (R)31.6%

2024 President Vote in this district

181,162 two-party votes · D+39.5 · D+41.0 vs. the nation
✓ Kamala Harris (D)69.8%
Donald Trump (R)30.2%

2022

106,268 votes · Uncontested by the other party
✓ Josh Lowenthal (D)58.9%
Al Austin II (D)41.1%

2020 Earlier district lines

136,796 votes · D+45.8
✓ Tom Daly (D)72.9%
Jon Paul White (R)27.1%

2020 President Vote in this district

210,384 two-party votes · D+46.3 · D+41.8 vs. the nation
✓ Joe Biden (D)73.2%
Donald Trump (R)26.8%

2016 President Vote in this district

161,900 two-party votes · D+49.3 · D+47.1 vs. the nation
✓ Hillary Clinton (D)74.7%
Donald Trump (R)25.3%