Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Washington › Washington State Senate · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Washington Legislative District 7

Top two

Shelly Short has no major-party opponent.

Shelly Short has no major-party opponent.

How this race is decided

Top-two primary

All candidates run in one primary regardless of party and the two with the most votes advance, so two candidates of the same party can meet in November. The forecast then marks the seat as safe for that party.

Staggered Senate

Senators serve four-year terms; about half the seats are on the ballot each election.

The candidates

The district

Lean R+33: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.

Presidential vote

← RepublicanDemocratic →2016 presidentR+32.6R+34.8 vs. nation2020 presidentR+33.1R+37.7 vs. nation2024 presidentR+33.0R+31.5 vs. nation

Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.

Who lives here

Population
164,775
People per km²
5
Adults with a B.A.+
22%
White, no degree
59%of adults
  • White 71%
  • Hispanic 17%
  • Black 1%
  • Asian 1%
  • Other / multiracial 11%

American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.

Past results

Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.

2024 President Vote in this district

83,408 two-party votes · R+33.0 · R+31.5 vs. the nation
✓ Donald Trump (R)66.5%
Kamala Harris (D)33.5%

2022 Earlier district lines

53,299 votes · Uncontested by the other party
✓ Shelly Short (R)96.9%
Write-In (—)3.1%

2020 President Vote in this district

101,115 two-party votes · R+33.1 · R+37.7 vs. the nation
✓ Donald Trump (R)66.6%
Joe Biden (D)33.4%

2018 Earlier district lines

69,553 votes · R+38.0
✓ Shelly Short (R)69.0%
Karen Hardy (D)31.0%

2016 President Vote in this district

71,752 two-party votes · R+32.6 · R+34.8 vs. the nation
✓ Donald Trump (R)66.3%
Hillary Clinton (D)33.7%

2014 Earlier district lines

45,314 votes · Uncontested by the other party
✓ Brian Dansel (R)72.2%
Tony Booth (R)27.8%