Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

California › U.S. House of Representatives · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

California's 29th District

D vs DTop two

Same-party general election. Two Democrats advanced to November: the seat stays Democratic.

Luz Rivas has no major-party opponent.

Luz Rivas has no major-party opponent.

How this race is decided

Top-two primary

All candidates run in one primary regardless of party and the two with the most votes advance, so two candidates of the same party can meet in November. The forecast then marks the seat as safe for that party.

The candidates

DemocraticIncumbent

Luz Rivas

Incumbent U.S. representative

Experience
Statewide office or Congress
Raised
$858.5K
From individuals
$409.8K
Spent
$763K
Cash on hand
$359.8K

Money: FEC, through Sep 30, 2026.

Profile and career · Wikipedia

Democratic

Angelica Dueñas

Former president of the Sun Valley neighborhood council, runner-up for this district in 2020 and 2022, and candidate in 2018 and 2024

Experience
No elected office
Raised
$37.2K
Spent
$33.7K
Cash on hand
$3.3K

Money: FEC, through Jun 30, 2026.

Profile and career

The district

Lean D+39: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.

Presidential vote

← RepublicanDemocratic →2016 presidentD+63.3D+61.1 vs. nation2020 presidentD+51.3D+46.7 vs. nation2024 presidentD+34.9D+36.4 vs. nation

Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.

Who lives here

Population
738,110
People per km²
3,346
Adults with a B.A.+
26%
White, no degree
14%of adults
  • White 22%
  • Hispanic 63%
  • Black 4%
  • Asian 8%
  • Other / multiracial 3%

American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.

Past results

Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.

2024 Earlier district lines

209,665 votes · D+39.6
✓ Luz Maria Rivas (D)69.8%
Benito Benny Bernal (R)30.2%

2024 President Vote in this district

231,710 two-party votes · D+34.9 · D+36.4 vs. the nation
✓ Kamala Harris (D)67.5%
Donald Trump (R)32.5%

2022 Earlier district lines

119,435 votes · Uncontested by the other party
✓ Tony Cardenas (D)58.5%
Angelica Maria Duenas (D)41.5%

2020 Earlier district lines

210,944 votes · Uncontested by the other party
✓ Tony Cardenas (D)56.6%
Angelica Maria Duenas (D)43.4%

2020 President Vote in this district

271,956 two-party votes · D+51.3 · D+46.7 vs. the nation
✓ Joe Biden (D)75.6%
Donald Trump (R)24.4%

2018 Earlier district lines

154,692 votes · D+61.2
✓ Tony Cardenas (D)80.6%
Benito Benny Bernal (R)19.4%

2016 Earlier district lines

171,824 votes · Uncontested by the other party
✓ Tony Cardenas (D)74.7%
Richard Alarcon (D)25.3%

2016 President Vote in this district

205,222 two-party votes · D+63.3 · D+61.1 vs. the nation
✓ Hillary Clinton (D)81.6%
Donald Trump (R)18.4%