DemocraticIncumbent
Delaware › Delaware House of Representatives · State legislature · November 3, 2026 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
Delaware House District 8
Moore is very likely to win: Moore wins in more than 99 of every 100 simulations.
Moore (D)
>99%
chance of winning
Taylor (R)
<1%
- Average margin
- D+29.5
- 80% of outcomes
- D+20 to D+39
- Partisan lean
- D+25
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Moore is very likely to win: Moore wins in more than 99 of every 100 simulations.
Moore (D)
>99%
chance of winning
Taylor (R)
<1%
- Average margin
- D+31.3
- 80% of outcomes
- D+19 to D+44
- Partisan lean
- D+25
- Polls
- No pollsmodel only
Range of outcomes
Final margin across our simulations; the white dashes mark the middle 80%.
The candidates
Republican
Gary Taylor
What goes into the forecast
Every ingredient's estimate of the final margin.
- National environment
- D+9.5Election Day forecast
- Delaware state offices
- +0.0Polls for governor, statewide and legislative races · details
- Environment here
- D+9.5Used by the fundamentals
- Swing reaching this office
- 58%Of a shift in the environment, from past legislative races since 2016
- Mid-Atlantic adjustment
- −0.8How legislative races in the region have run against lean and environment lately
Each estimate is a margin before national and statewide uncertainty is simulated. Horizon blends polls, fundamentals and a little of the similar-places estimate, weighting each by how precise it is; Pulse uses polls and similar places only.
Fundamentals inputs
| Incumbency (+1 D, −1 R) | 1 |
| Fundraising edge (log ratio of individual money) | -0.51 |
| Elected-experience edge | 0.67 |
| First-term incumbent | 0 |
| Seat's last result vs. expectation | -6.57 |
| Incumbent's last result vs. expectation | -6.57 |
Polls
No public polls of this race. The forecast relies on fundamentals and on polling of similar places in the state.
The district
Lean D+25: how much more Democratic or Republican than the nation it votes for president.
Presidential vote
Precinct results re-aggregated to the current district lines.
Who lives here
- Population
- 33,055
- People per km²
- 449
- Adults with a B.A.+
- 46%
- White, no degree
- 36%of adults
- White 59%
- Hispanic 5%
- Black 26%
- Asian 3%
- Other / multiracial 6%
American Community Survey 2020–2024, aggregated from census tracts.
Past results
Results in the same-numbered district; earlier elections may have used different lines.
2024
13,745 votes · D+15.6✓ Sherae'A "rae" Moore (D)57.8%
Chris Beronio (R)42.2%
2024 President Vote in this district
13,920 two-party votes · D+24.2 · D+25.7 vs. the nation✓ Kamala Harris (D)62.1%
Donald Trump (R)37.9%
2022
8,197 votes · D+16.1✓ Sheraea Moore (D)58.1%
David W Thomas (R)41.9%
2020 Earlier district lines
13,282 votes · D+13.9✓ Sherae Moore (D)57.0%
Daniel Zitofsky (R)43.0%
2020 President Vote in this district
13,330 two-party votes · D+26.5 · D+21.9 vs. the nation✓ Joe Biden (D)63.2%
Donald Trump (R)36.8%
2016 President Vote in this district
10,614 two-party votes · D+16.8 · D+14.5 vs. the nation✓ Hillary Clinton (D)58.4%
Donald Trump (R)41.6%