99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Massachusetts · Massachusetts House of Representatives: 9th Norfolk District · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Tom Melville

Democratic

2026 race · Massachusetts House of Representatives: 9th Norfolk District

91% chance of winning · race rated Likely D

91%9%

97% chance of winning · race rated Solid D

97%3%
● Tom Melville● Marcus VaughnINC
Full race forecast

Background

Record
No elected office on file.

Links: Candidate list (source)

Opponents in 2026