99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Maryland · Maryland's 1st District · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Dan Schwartz

Democratic

Consumer advocate

2026 race · Maryland's 1st District

3% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

3%97%

5% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

5%95%
● Dan Schwartz● Andy HarrisINC
Full race forecast

Background

Experience
No elected office

Links: FEC filings · Candidate list (source)

Fundraising

Raised
$695.2K
From individuals
$668K
Spent
$622.6K
Cash on hand
$72.6K

Money: FEC, through Jun 30, 2026.

Opponents in 2026