99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Maryland · Maryland's 1st District · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Andy Harris

RepublicanIncumbent

Incumbent U.S. representative

2026 race · Maryland's 1st District

97% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

3%97%

95% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

5%95%
● Dan Schwartz● Andy HarrisINC
Full race forecast

Background

Current office
Maryland's 1st District
Experience
Statewide office or Congress
Past races on file
11 (10 won)

Links: Wikipedia · FEC filings · Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in Maryland, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    U.S. House · MD-1 Nov 5, 2024

    R · 59.5% · 246,356 votes

    Won
  2. 2022

    U.S. House · MD-1 Nov 8, 2022

    R · 54.5% · 159,673 votes

    Won
  3. 2020

    U.S. House · MD-1 Nov 3, 2020

    R · 63.6% · 250,901 votes

    Won
  4. 2018

    U.S. House · MD-1 Nov 6, 2018

    R · 60.0% · 183,662 votes

    Won
  5. 2016

    U.S. House · MD-1 Nov 8, 2016

    R · 67.1% · 242,574 votes

    Won
  6. 2014

    U.S. House · MD-1 Nov 4, 2014

    R · 70.5% · 176,342 votes

    Won
  7. 2012

    U.S. House · MD-1 Nov 6, 2012

    R · 67.0% · 214,204 votes

    Won
  8. 2010

    U.S. House · MD-1 Nov 2, 2010

    R · 54.2% · 155,118 votes

    Won
  9. 2008

    U.S. House · MD-1 Nov 4, 2008

    R · 48.4% · 174,213 votes

    Lost
  10. 2006

    State Senate · LD-7 Nov 7, 2006

    R · 56.6% · 23,453 votes

    Won
  11. 2002

    State Senate · LD-7 Nov 5, 2002

    R · 57.9% · 23,374 votes

    Won

Fundraising

Raised
$2.6M
From individuals
$2.1M
Spent
$2.1M
Cash on hand
$1.3M

Money: FEC, through Sep 30, 2026.

Opponents in 2026