99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Tennessee · Tennessee's 2nd District · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Tim Burchett

RepublicanIncumbent

Incumbent U.S. representative

2026 race · Tennessee's 2nd District

>99% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

<1%>99%

99% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

1%99%
● Michaela Barnett● Tim BurchettINC
Full race forecast

Background

Current office
Tennessee's 2nd District
Experience
Statewide office or Congress
Past races on file
6 (6 won)

Links: Wikipedia · FEC filings · Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in Tennessee, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    U.S. House · TN-2 Nov 5, 2024

    R · 69.3% · 250,782 votes

    Won
  2. 2022

    U.S. House · TN-2 Nov 8, 2022

    R · 67.9% · 141,089 votes

    Won
  3. 2020

    U.S. House · TN-2 Nov 3, 2020

    R · 67.6% · 238,907 votes

    Won
  4. 2018

    U.S. House · TN-2 Nov 6, 2018

    R · 65.9% · 172,856 votes

    Won
  5. 2006

    State Senate · SD-7 Nov 7, 2006

    R · 100.0% · 36,594 votes

    Won
  6. 2002

    State Senate · SD-7 Nov 5, 2002

    R · 59.3% · 26,812 votes

    Won

Fundraising

Raised
$2.4M
From individuals
$2.2M
Spent
$2.2M
Cash on hand
$967.4K

Money: FEC, through Jul 17, 2026.

Opponents in 2026