99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

New Jersey · New Jersey's 7th District · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Thomas Kean Jr.

RepublicanIncumbent

Incumbent U.S. representative

2026 race · New Jersey's 7th District

14% chance of winning · race rated Likely D

86%14%

16% chance of winning · race rated Likely D

84%16%
● Rebecca Bennett● Thomas Kean Jr.INC
Full race forecast

Background

Current office
New Jersey's 7th District
Experience
Statewide office or Congress

Links: Wikipedia · FEC filings · Candidate list (source)

Fundraising

Raised
$4.9M
From individuals
$2M
Spent
$1.3M
Cash on hand
$3.6M

Money: FEC, through Jun 30, 2026.

Opponents in 2026