99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Minnesota · Minnesota House District 22B · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Terry Matthew Stier

RepublicanIncumbent

2026 race · Minnesota House District 22B

>99% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

<1%>99%

99% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

1%99%
● Mary Nesgoda● Terry Matthew StierINC
Full race forecast

Background

Current office
Minnesota House of Representatives, HD-22B
Experience
State legislature
Past races on file
1 (1 won)

Links: Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in Minnesota, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    House of Representatives · HD-22B Nov 5, 2024

    R · 68.8% · 17,053 votes

    Won

Opponents in 2026