99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Arizona · Arizona Legislative District 4 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Tammy Caputi

Democratic2 seats

2026 race · Arizona Legislative District 4

Toss-up

47%53%

Lean D

63%37%
● Karen Gresham● Matt GressINCAlso: Pamela Carter (R), Tammy Caputi (D)
Full race forecast

Background

Past races on file
1 (0 won)

Links: Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in Arizona, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2016

    House of Representatives · LD-23 Nov 8, 2016

    D · 25.6% · 46,255 votes

    Lost

Opponents in 2026