Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

California · California Governor · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Steve Hilton

RepublicanTop two

Political commentator and former adviser to UK prime minister David Cameron (2010–2012)

Opponents in 2026