99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Maine · Maine Senate District 30 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Sophia Bailey Warren

Democratic

2026 race · Maine Senate District 30

>99% chance of winning · race rated Solid D

>99%<1%

99% chance of winning · race rated Solid D

99%1%
● Sophia Bailey Warren● Harry J White
Full race forecast

Background

Current office
Maine House of Representatives, HD-124
Past races on file
3 (3 won)

Links: Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in Maine, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    House of Representatives · HD-124 Nov 5, 2024

    D · 66.2% · 3,959 votes

    Won
  2. 2022

    House of Representatives · HD-124 Nov 8, 2022

    D · 67.6% · 3,592 votes

    Won
  3. 2020

    House of Representatives · HD-29 Nov 3, 2020

    I · 38.0% · 2,561 votes

    Won

Opponents in 2026