99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Virginia · Virginia's 1st District · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Shannon Taylor

Democratic

Henrico County commonwealth's attorney (2012–present) and candidate for attorney general in 2025

2026 race · Virginia's 1st District

54% chance of winning · race rated Toss-up

54%46%

62% chance of winning · race rated Lean D

62%38%
● Shannon Taylor● Rob WittmanINC
Full race forecast

Background

Experience
Local office

Links: Wikipedia · FEC filings · Candidate list (source)

Fundraising

Raised
$2.1M
From individuals
$1.7M
Spent
$1.1M
Cash on hand
$1M

Money: FEC, through Jul 15, 2026.

Opponents in 2026