99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Montana · U.S. Senate in Montana · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Seth Bodnar

Independent

Former president of the University of Montana (2018–2026)

2026 race · U.S. Senate in Montana

2% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

2%98%

2% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

2%98%
● Seth Bodnar● Kurt AlmeAlso: Kyle Austin (L), Alani Bankhead (D)
Full race forecast

Background

Experience
No elected office

Links: Wikipedia · FEC filings · Candidate list (source)

Fundraising

Raised
$4.7M
From individuals
$4.5M
Spent
$3.9M
Cash on hand
$745.1K

Money: FEC, through Sep 30, 2026.

Opponents in 2026