99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Tennessee · Tennessee's 6th District · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Mike Croley

Democratic

Former park ranger

2026 race · Tennessee's 6th District

1% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

1%99%

3% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

3%97%
● Mike Croley● Johnny Garrett
Full race forecast

Background

Experience
No elected office

Links: FEC filings · Candidate list (source)

Fundraising

Raised
$103.8K
From individuals
$97.7K
Spent
$81.1K
Cash on hand
$22.9K

Money: FEC, through Sep 30, 2026.

Opponents in 2026