Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

California · California's 6th District · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Kevin Kiley

IndependentIncumbentTop two

Incumbent U.S. representative

Electoral history

Earlier races in California, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    U.S. House · CA-3 Nov 5, 2024

    R · 55.4% · 233,895 votes

    Won
  2. 2022

    U.S. House · CA-3 Nov 8, 2022

    R · 53.6% · 181,438 votes

    Won
  3. 2020

    State Assembly · AD-6 Nov 3, 2020

    R · 59.0% · 178,559 votes

    Won
  4. 2018

    State Assembly · AD-6 Nov 6, 2018

    R · 58.0% · 131,284 votes

    Won
  5. 2016

    State Assembly · AD-6 Nov 8, 2016

    R · 64.6% · 149,415 votes

    Won

Fundraising

Raised
$3M
From individuals
$1.9M
Spent
$1.2M
Cash on hand
$2.1M

Money: FEC, through Jun 30, 2026.

Opponents in 2026