99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Virginia · Virginia's 4th District · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Jennifer McClellan

DemocraticIncumbent

Incumbent U.S. representative

2026 race · Virginia's 4th District

>99% chance of winning · race rated Solid D

>99%<1%

>99% chance of winning · race rated Solid D

>99%<1%
● Jennifer McClellanINC● Robert Murray
Full race forecast

Background

Current office
Virginia's 4th District
Experience
Statewide office or Congress
Past races on file
8 (8 won)

Links: Wikipedia · FEC filings · Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in Virginia, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    U.S. House · VA-4 Nov 5, 2024

    D · 67.5% · 252,885 votes

    Won
  2. 2019

    State Senate · SD-9 Nov 5, 2019

    D · 80.9% · 49,451 votes

    Won
  3. 2015

    House of Delegates · HD-71 Nov 3, 2015

    D · 88.8% · 9,809 votes

    Won
  4. 2013

    House of Delegates · HD-71 Nov 5, 2013

    D · 88.1% · 18,219 votes

    Won
  5. 2011

    House of Delegates · HD-71 Nov 8, 2011

    D · 100.0% · 7,859 votes

    Won
  6. 2009

    House of Delegates · HD-71 Nov 3, 2009

    D · 82.9% · 11,628 votes

    Won
  7. 2007

    House of Delegates · HD-71 Nov 6, 2007

    D · 100.0% · 4,547 votes

    Won
  8. 2005

    House of Delegates · HD-71 Nov 8, 2005

    D · 100.0% · 14,699 votes

    Won

Fundraising

Raised
$1.5M
From individuals
$695.8K
Spent
$1.3M
Cash on hand
$206.3K

Money: FEC, through Sep 30, 2026.

Opponents in 2026