99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Arkansas · Arkansas's 4th District · Updated Oct 16, 2026

James Russell

Democratic

Mental health advocate and candidate for governor in 2022 (previously ran for U.S. Senate)

2026 race · Arkansas's 4th District

<1% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

<1%>99%

<1% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

<1%>99%
● James Russell● Bruce WestermanINC
Full race forecast

Background

Experience
No elected office

Links: FEC filings · Candidate list (source)

Fundraising

Raised
$5.9K
From individuals
$4.4K
Spent
$5.6K
Cash on hand
$907

Money: FEC, through Jun 30, 2026.

Opponents in 2026