99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Michigan · Michigan's 6th District · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Heather Smiley

Republican

Office analyst and nominee for this district in 2024

2026 race · Michigan's 6th District

<1% chance of winning · race rated Solid D

>99%<1%

<1% chance of winning · race rated Solid D

>99%<1%
● Debbie DingellINC● Heather Smiley
Full race forecast

Background

Experience
No elected office
Past races on file
1 (0 won)

Links: FEC filings · Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in Michigan, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    U.S. House · MI-6 Nov 5, 2024

    R · 35.0% · 158,658 votes

    Lost

Opponents in 2026