99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Arizona · Arizona Treasurer · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Elijah Norton

Republican

Former treasurer of the Arizona Republican Party and candidate for AZ-1 in 2022

2026 race · Arizona Treasurer

21% chance of winning · race rated Lean D

79%21%

19% chance of winning · race rated Likely D

81%19%
● Nick Mansour● Elijah Norton
Full race forecast

Background

Experience
No elected office

Links: Candidate list (source)

Opponents in 2026