99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Ohio · Ohio's 15th District · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Don Leonard

Democratic

Educator

2026 race · Ohio's 15th District

35% chance of winning · race rated Lean R

35%65%

36% chance of winning · race rated Lean R

36%64%
● Don Leonard● Mike CareyINCAlso: Brennan Barrington (L)
Full race forecast

Background

Experience
No elected office

Links: FEC filings · Candidate list (source)

Fundraising

Raised
$1.1M
From individuals
$966.7K
Spent
$949.7K
Cash on hand
$196.1K

Money: FEC, through Sep 30, 2026.

Opponents in 2026