99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Maine · Maine House District 40 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

D. Michael Ray

Democratic

2026 race · Maine House District 40

96% chance of winning · race rated Solid D

96%4%

90% chance of winning · race rated Likely D

90%10%
● D. Michael Ray● Joseph M McLaughlin
Full race forecast

Background

Past races on file
1 (1 won)

Links: Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in Maine, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    House of Representatives · HD-40 Nov 5, 2024

    D · 54.1% · 3,143 votes

    Won

Opponents in 2026